A spatial epidemic model with a moving boundary

We present a new mathematical model to investigate the spatial spread of an infectious disease. The model consists of a nonlinear PDE system with an unknown velocity field, defined on an epidemic domain that changes with time. The moving boundary of the domain represents the wavefront of the epidemi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Infectious disease modelling 2021-01, Vol.6, p.1046-1060
Hauptverfasser: Zhuang, Qiao, Wang, Jin
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We present a new mathematical model to investigate the spatial spread of an infectious disease. The model consists of a nonlinear PDE system with an unknown velocity field, defined on an epidemic domain that changes with time. The moving boundary of the domain represents the wavefront of the epidemic. We conduct an equilibrium analysis to the simplified models represented by ODE systems. We also perform a numerical study on the original PDE system for a range of scenarios, including one under a realistic epidemic setting.
ISSN:2468-0427
2468-2152
2468-0427
DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2021.08.005