Impact of the activities of tour operators destabilizing changes in tourist destinations and ecotourism as a factor to minimize them

The article discusses the issues of incorporating external risk factors into the detail of tour operators. The purpose of the article is to investigate the redistribution of tourist flows under the influence of natural and man-made factors, in particular, plane crashes, terrorist attacks, political events, earthquakes, fires, floods, hurricanes and more. The article contains an analysis of the following aspects: transport services; services that ensure the comfort of stay of tourists outside of permanent residence (food, freedom of communication, accommodation, etc.); services that of the tourist may need while staying on a one-time of tourist the trip (treatment, entertainment, souvenirs, etc.). The author proposes a mechanism for predicting the volume of tourist flows based on the use of mathematical modeling, which will allow to take into account the scale of the crisis, its terms, development and distribution in order to improve the activities of the crisis in the event of crisis caused by natural and technological factors in one or another tourist direction and ensuring their stable functioning under conditions of destabilizing factors. It is proposed to consider ecological tourism as a factor in minimizing the negative effects of human impact on the environment and reducing man-made impact.