A Nomogram for Predicting the Residual Back Pain after Percutaneous Vertebroplasty for Osteoporotic Vertebral Compression Fractures

Objective. Current findings suggest that percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) is a suitable therapeutic approach for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs). However, a significant minority of patients still experience residual back pain after PVP. The present retrospective study was designed to determine the risk factors for residual back pain after PVP and provides a nomogram for predicting the residual back pain after PVP. Methods. We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with single-segment OVCFs who underwent bilateral percutaneous vertebroplasty. Patients were divided into group N and group R according to the postoperative VAS score. Group R is described as the VAS score of residual back pain ≥ 4. Pre- and postoperative factors that may affect back pain relief were evaluated between two groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to identify risk factors affecting residual back pain after PVP. We provided a nomogram for predicting the residual back pain and used the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses (DCA) to evaluate the prognostic performance. Results. Among 268 patients treated with PVP, 37 (13.81%) patients were classified postoperative residual back pain. The results of the multivariate logistical regression analysis showed that the presence of an intravertebral vacuum cleft (IVC) (OR 3.790, P=0.026), posterior fascia oedema (OR 3.965, P=0.022), severe paraspinal muscle degeneration (OR 5.804, P=0.01; OR 13.767, P