Older age and varus alignment lead to early failure in treating patellofemoral osteoarthritis with Fulkerson osteotomy

Background: It is unclear the risk factors for the failure of modified Fulkerson osteotomy. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 40 patients who underwent the modified Fulkerson osteotomy from 1998 to 2015. There were 4 males and 36 females. The mean age of the study group was 50.2 ± 11.2 years. We used standard anteriorization measuring 10–15 mm and medialization measuring 10 mm while maintaining an intact periosteal sleeve. Results: Both the patellofemoral angle and the congruence angle improved significantly after 5.9 years. Preoperatively, the mean preoperative Lysholm score was 56.12, and the Knee Society score was 60.52. At the final follow-up, these scores improved significantly to 88.75 and 86.49, respectively. However, eight patients (20%) underwent total knee arthroplasty in the follow-up period, five of whom underwent the operation within 5 years. Comparing the survival and non-survival groups, there was a significant difference of an older age in the TKA conversion group (survival: 48.3 ± 11.1; non-survival: 57.8 ± 8.7, p = 0.03). For knee alignment, the non-survival group had a mean valgus femorotibial angle of 1.8° ± 4.9° preoperatively, and the survival group had a mean valgus angle of 6.4° ± 4.5° (p = 0.03). Conclusions: we found that patients with older age and those with varus alignment have an increased risk of deteriorated medial femorotibial cartilage.