A CT-based radiomics nomogram for differentiation of benign and malignant small renal masses (≤4 cm)

•Noninvasive imaging techniques aid clinical decision making.•Differentiation of benign and malignant small renal tumors.•Radiomics nomogram have better clinical utility. Based on radiomics signature and clinical data, to develop and verify a radiomics nomogram for preoperative distinguish between benign and malignant of small renal masses (SRM). One hundred and fifty-six patients with malignant (n = 92) and benign (n = 64) SRM were divided into the following three categories: category A, typical angiomyolipoma (AML) with visible fat; category B, benign SRM without visible fat, including fat-poor angiomyolipoma (fp-AML), and other rare benign renal tumors; category C, malignant renal tumors. At the same time, one hundred and fifty-six patients included in the study were divided into the training set (n = 108) and test set (n = 48). Respectively from corticomedullary phase (CP), nephrogram phase (NP) and excretory phase (EP) CT images to extract the radiomics features, and the optimal features were screened to establish the logistic regression model and decision tree model, and computed the radiomics score (Rad-score). Demographics and CT findings were evaluated and statistically significant factors were selected to construct a clinical factors model. The radiomics nomogram was established by merging Rad-score and selected clinical factors. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) values and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to compare model discriminant performance, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess clinical usefulness. Seven, fifteen, nineteen, and seventeen distinguishing features were obtained in the CP, NP, EP, and three-phase joint, respectively, and the logistic regression and decision tree models were built based on this features. In the training set, the logistic regression model works better than the decision tree model for distinguishing categories A and B from category C, with the AUC of CP, NP, EP and three-phase joint were 0.868, 0.906, 0.937 and 0.975, respectively. The radiomics nomogram constructed based on the three-phase joint Rad-score and selected clinical factor performed well on the training set (AUC, 0.988; 95% CI, 0.974-1.000) for differentiation of categories A and B from category C. In the test set, the AUC of clinical factors model, radiomics signature and radiomics nomogram for discriminating categories A and B from category C were 0.814, 0.954 and 0.968, respectively; for the identification of category A