A SCENARIO APPROACH IN THE FUNCTIONAL MODELING OF ECOTOURISM TERRITORIES

To control the recreational impact in the specially protected natural areas whose functions include ecological tourism, they are subject to zoning. The high uncertainty of changes occurring in the ecosystems of the ecotourism territories makes it impossible to develop a strategy for their sustainable spatial development based on a static zoning scheme. The scenario approach makes it possible to ensure the structuring of uncertainties, plan various scenarios and design a zoning scheme as a dynamic system that develops in accordance with the peculiarities of the processes taking place in the territory. The scenario approach implies simulation modeling of processes occurring in protected areas. In the article, a territory of ecotourism is considered as a complex urban planning system consisting of territorial subsystems. Models of processes occurring in these subsystems are described and techniques are developed that allow the urban planning system of the ecotourism territory to develop steadily and maintain integrity in order to achieve the desired future, i.e. capability to familiarize the present and future generations with the natural and cultural heritage.