An Observational Study on the Prediction of Range of Motion in Soldiers Diagnosed with Patellar Tendinopathy Using Ultrasound Shear Wave Elastography

This study hypothesized that changes in the elasticity of the quadriceps and patellar tendons before and after the diagnosis of patellar tendinopathy would correlate with the range of motion (ROM) following conservative treatment. We aimed to prospectively assess post-treatment ROM using multinomial logistic regression, incorporating elasticity measurements obtained via shear wave elastography (SWE). From March 2023 to April 2024, 95 patients (86 men; aged 20-45 years, mean 25.62 ± 5.49 years) underwent SWE preoperatively and two days post-diagnosis of patellar tendinopathy. Elasticity measurements of the rectus femoris, vastus medialis, vastus lateralis, patellar tendon, and biceps tendon were obtained during full flexion and extension. Based on ROM 56 days post-treatment, patients were categorized into two groups: Group A (ROM > 120 degrees) and Group B (ROM < 120 degrees). A multinomial logistic regression algorithm was employed to classify the groups using patient information and tendon elasticity measurements both at diagnosis and 1-week post-diagnosis. The predictive accuracy using only patient information was 62%, while using only elasticity measurements yielded 68% accuracy. When combining patient information with elasticity measurements taken at diagnosis and two days post-diagnosis, the algorithm achieved an accuracy of 79%, sensitivity of 92%, and specificity of 56%. The combination of patient information and tendon elasticity measurements obtained via SWE at pre-conservative treatment and early post-conservative treatment periods effectively predicts post-treatment ROM. This algorithm can guide rehabilitation strategies for soldiers with patellar tendinopathy.