Prediction models for risk assessment of surgical site infection after spinal surgery: A systematic review

Spinal surgeries are a common procedure, but there is significant risk of adverse events following these operations. While the rate of adverse events ranges from 8% to 18%, surgical site infections (SSIs) alone occur in between 1% and 4% of spinal surgeries. We completed a systematic review addressing factors that contribute to surgical site infection after spinal surgery. From the included studies, we separated the articles into groups based on whether they propose a clinical predictive tool or model. We then compared the prediction variables, model development, model validation, and model performance. About 47 articles were included in this study: 10 proposed a model and 5 validated a model. The models were developed from 7,720 participants in total and 210 participants with SSI. Only one of the proposed models was externally validated by an independent group. The other 4 validation papers examined the performance of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator. While some preoperative risk models have been validated, and even successfully implemented clinically, the significance of postoperative SSIs and the unique susceptibility of spine surgery patients merits the development of a spine-specific preoperative risk model. Additionally, comprehensive and stratified risk modeling for SSI would be of invaluable clinical utility and greatly improve the field of spine surgery.