Prospective observational studies to provide confidence in the protection conferred by newer generation, inactivated oral cholera vaccines: a proposal

Inactivated oral cholera vaccines (OCVs) are a cornerstone of international efforts to control cholera, and are currently deployed from a global stockpile for the control of epidemics and endemic hotspots, as well as for humanitarian emergencies. One inactivated OCV (with tradenames Shanchol™ and Euvichol-Plus™) is used in the stockpile, but the number of available doses is inadequate to meet the rapidly rising demand for OCVs from countries affected by cholera. Newer, simplified inactivated OCVs under development offer the possibilities of lower expense and higher production yields, and could expand the stockpile. However, their clinical development is made complex because placebo-controlled randomised trials of OCV efficacy are no longer ethically permissible and because the serum vibriocidal antibodies used to measure OCV responses are not correlates of OCV protection against cholera. Here, we propose an observational study design with features to enhance methodological rigor to provide credible evidence of protection against cholera by these newer vaccines.