Simulation Effect Evaluation of CMIP6 Models on Climatic Elements in Huai River Basin

The general climate model (CMIP6) is the main means of large-scale simulation and prediction of future climate changes,but the simulation quality of its model data and applicability in different research regions need to be evaluated.Based on the measured data of 19 meteorological stations in the upper and middle reaches of the Huai River Basin from 1960 to 2014,this paper systematically evaluates the simulated climate data of 19 CMIP6 models using five precision indicators.The indicators include equidistant cumulative distribution function method,mean,dispersion coefficient (Cv),Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC),standard deviation (STD),and root-mean-square deviation (RMSE).Finally,the following conclusions are drawn:① Based on the simulation data of 19 CMIP6 models corrected for bias,the top two climate models for precipitation data simulation are preliminarily selected,including ACCESS-ESM1-5 and CMCC-ESM2.The top five climate models for simulating temperature data contain ACCESS-ESM1-5 and CMCC-ESM2;②