Dynamics of mcr-1 prevalence and mcr-1-positive Escherichia coli after the cessation of colistin use as a feed additive for animals in China: a prospective cross-sectional and whole genome sequencing-based molecular epidemiological study

The global dissemination of colistin resistance encoded by mcr-1 has been attributed to extensive use of colistin in livestock, threatening colistin efficacy in medicine. The emergence of mcr-1 in common pathogens, such as Escherichia coli, is of particular concern. China banned the use of colistin in animal feed from May 1, 2017. We investigated subsequent changes in mcr-1 prevalence in animals, humans, food, and the environment, and the genomic epidemiology of mcr-1-positive E coli (MCRPEC). Sampling was done before (October to December, 2016) and after (October to December, 2017, and 2018, respectively) the colistin ban. 3675 non-duplicate pig faecal samples were collected from 14 provinces (66 farms) in China to measure intervention-related changes in mcr-1 prevalence. 15 193 samples were collected from pigs, healthy human volunteers, patients colonised or infected with Enterobacteriaceae who were admitted to hospital, food and the environment in Guangzhou, to characterise source-specific mcr-1 prevalence and the wider ecological effect of the ban. From these samples, 688 MCRPEC were analysed with whole genome sequencing, plasmid conjugation, and S1 pulsed-field gel electrophoresis with Southern blots to characterise associated genomic changes. After the ban, mcr-1 prevalence decreased significantly in national pig farms, from 308 (45%) of 684 samples in 2016 to 274 (19%) of 1416 samples in 2018 (p