Radiocarbon monoxide indicates increasing atmospheric oxidizing capacity

Hydroxyl (OH) is the atmosphere’s main oxidant removing most pollutants including methane. Its short lifetime prevents large-scale direct observational quantification. Abundances inferred using anthropogenic trace gas measurements and models yield conflicting trend estimates. By contrast, radiocarbo...

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Veröffentlicht in:Nature communications 2025-01, Vol.16 (1), p.249-11, Article 249
Hauptverfasser: Morgenstern, Olaf, Moss, Rowena, Manning, Martin, Zeng, Guang, Schaefer, Hinrich, Usoskin, Ilya, Turnbull, Jocelyn, Brailsford, Gordon, Nichol, Sylvia, Bromley, Tony
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Hydroxyl (OH) is the atmosphere’s main oxidant removing most pollutants including methane. Its short lifetime prevents large-scale direct observational quantification. Abundances inferred using anthropogenic trace gas measurements and models yield conflicting trend estimates. By contrast, radiocarbon monoxide ( 14 CO), produced naturally by cosmic rays and almost exclusively removed by OH, is a tracer with a well-understood source. Here we show that Southern-Hemisphere 14 CO measurements indicate increasing OH. New Zealand 14 CO data exhibit an annual-mean decrease of 12 ± 2% since 1997, whereas Antarctic measurements show a December-January decrease of 43 ± 24%. Both imply similar OH increases, corroborating our own and other model results suggesting that OH has been globally increasing during recent decades. Model sensitivity simulations illustrate the roles of methane, nitrogen oxides, stratospheric ozone depletion, and global warming driving these trends. They have substantial implications for the budgets of pollutants removed by OH, and especially imply larger than documented methane emission increases. Many atmospheric pollutants including methane are removed by the hydroxyl radical. Southern-Hemisphere long-term measurements of radiocarbon monoxide and global model results indicate that this atmospheric self-cleansing capacity is strengthening.
ISSN:2041-1723
2041-1723
DOI:10.1038/s41467-024-55603-1