Porphyromonas gingivalis predicts local recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection of early esophageal squamous cell carcinoma or precancerous lesion

Porphyromonas gingivalis plays an oncogenic role in development and progression of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). However, the impact of P. gingivalis on local recurrence of early ESCC or precancerous lesion after ESD treatment remains unknown. The present study aimed to evaluate the impact of P. gingivalis on local recurrence after ESD treatment of early ESCC or high-grade dysplasia (HGD). The amount of P. gingivalis was assessed by immunohistochemistry in 205 patients with early ESCC or HGD. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the effect of P. gingivalis on local recurrence. Propensity score matching analysis was performed to reduce the imbalance of baseline characteristics. A nomogram integrating significant prognostic factors was built for local recurrence prediction. The amount of P. gingivalis increased significantly in neoplasms that invaded up to muscularis mucosa and submucosa compared with lesions confined to epithelium or lamina propria. Overabundance of P. gingivalis was positively associated with invasion depth, post-ESD stricture and local recurrence. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that P. gingivalis, longitudinal length of lesion and lymphovascular invasion were independent predictors for post-ESD recurrence. A nomogram comprising P. gingivalis, lymphovascular involvement, and lesion length performed well for prediction of post-ESD local recurrence with the concordance indices of 0.72 (95%CI, 0.62 to 0.80), 0.72 (95%CI, 0.63 to 0.80), and 0.74 (95%CI, 0.65 to 0.83) in the validation cohort, the entire cohort, and the subcohort after PSM, respectively. P. gingivalis overabundance is a risk factor and a potential predictor for local recurrence of early ESCC or HGD after ESD treatment. Thus, clearance of P. gingivalis represents an attractive strategy for prognosis improvement and for prevention of ESCC.