Association of preoperative muscle-adipose index measured by computed tomography with survival in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Conventional nutritional metrics are closely associated with the prognosis of patients with radically resected esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Nevertheless, the prognostic implications of muscle and adipose tissue composite indexes in ESCC remain unknown. We retrospectively analyzed clinicopathological data of 304 patients who underwent resected ESCC. To obtain measurements of the muscle and adipose indexes, preoperative computed tomography (CT) images were used to quantify skeletal-muscle adipose tissue. The diagnostic threshold for muscle-adipose imbalance was determined using X-tile software and used to analyze the association between the muscle-adipose index (MAI) and survival. Instantaneous risk of recurrence was assessed using a hazard function. We constructed a nomogram based on the MAI and other clinical characteristics and established a novel predictive model with independent prognostic factors. The prognostic capabilities of these nomograms were evaluated using calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision-curve analysis (DCA). The overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates in the muscle-adipose-balanced group were significantly better than those in the muscle-adipose-imbalanced group. Multivariate analyses revealed that the MAI, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), tumor stage, and tumor differentiation were independent prognostic factors for OS and DFS in patients with resected ESCC (P