Ultrasound radiomics nomogram for predicting large-number cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

To evaluate the value of preoperative ultrasound (US) radiomics nomogram of primary papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) for predicting large-number cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM). A retrospective study was conducted to collect the clinical and ultrasonic data of primary PTC. 645 patients were randomly divided into training and testing datasets according to the proportion of 7:3. Minimum redundancy-maximum relevance (mRMR) and least absolution shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to select features and establish radiomics signature. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a US radiomics nomogram containing radiomics signature and selected clinical characteristics. The efficiency of the nomogram was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve, and the clinical application value was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA). Testing dataset was used to validate the model. TG level, tumor size, aspect ratio, and radiomics signature were significantly correlated with large-number CLNM (all P< 0.05). The ROC curve and calibration curve of the US radiomics nomogram showed good predictive efficiency. In the training dataset, the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.935, 0.897, 0.956, and 0.837, respectively, and in the testing dataset, the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.782, 0.910, 0.533 and 0.943 respectively. DCA showed that the nomogram had some clinical benefits in predicting large-number CLNM. We have developed an easy-to-use and non-invasive US radiomics nomogram for predicting large-number CLNM with PTC, which combines radiomics signature and clinical risk factors. The nomogram has good predictive efficiency and potential clinical application value.