Uncertainty Quantification of Engineering Parameters for a Nuclear Reactor Loaded with Dispersed Fuel Particles

Owing to their high intrinsic safety, dispersed fuel particles are an important fuel pattern for fourth-generation nuclear reactors. Due to the unique cladding layers and the random dispersion characteristics, dispersed fuel particles significantly differ from pressurized water reactors regarding operation-induced uncertainty. This study quantitatively analyzed overall uncertainty while considering a random distribution of dispersed fuel particles, material thickness, and fuel enrichment. The results demonstrated that, for all packing fractions, the uncertainty induced by the random dispersion of dispersed fuel particles was below 0.03%. For every packing fraction, the differences between the results obtained by the regular and the random distribution models increased, and then decreased, until reaching its maximum (1.297%) at 15%. Keff decreased as the radius of the UO2 kernel increased; Keff increased as the thickness of the cladding layer increased; the uncertainty of Keff was 1.003% when a random distribution of particles, material thickness, and fuel enrichment were taken into consideration; the uncertainty of the power distribution of reactor core assemblies was maximized (1.495%) at the edge of the reactor core. Quantitative analysis of uncertainty provides references for the optimization of design and safety margin analysis for reactors.