U shape association between triglyceride glucose index and congestive heart failure in patients with diabetes and prediabetes

While previous population studies have shown that higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index values are associated with an increased risk of congestive heart failure (CHF), the relationship between TyG and CHF in patients with abnormal glucose metabolism remains understudied. This study aimed to evaluate the association between TyG and CHF in individuals with diabetes and prediabetes. The study population was derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 1999 to 2018. The exposure variable, TyG, was calculated based on triglyceride and fasting blood glucose levels, while the outcome of interest was CHF. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to assess the association between TyG and CHF. A total of 13,644 patients with diabetes and prediabetes were included in this study. The results from the fitting curve analysis demonstrated a non-linear U-shaped correlation between TyG and CHF. Additionally, linear logistic regression analysis showed that each additional unit of TyG was associated with a non-significant odds ratio (OR) of 1.03 (95%CI: 0.88-1.22, P = 0.697) for the prevalence of CHF. A two-piecewise logistic regression model was used to calculate the threshold effect of the TyG. The log likelihood ratio test (p