Development and Validation a Nomogram Incorporating CT Radiomics Signatures and Radiological Features for Differentiating Invasive Adenocarcinoma From Adenocarcinoma In Situ and Minimally Invasive Adenocarcinoma Presenting as Ground-Glass Nodules Measuring 5-10mm in Diameter

To develop and validate a nomogram for differentiating invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) from adenocarcinoma (AIS) and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) presenting as ground-glass nodules (GGNs) measuring 5-10mm in diameter. This retrospective study included 446 patients with 478 GGNs histopathologically confirmed AIS, MIA or IAC. These patients were assigned to a primary cohort, an internal validation cohort and an external validation cohort. The segmentation of these GGNs on thin-slice computed tomography (CT) were performed semi-automatically with in-house software. Radiomics features were then extracted from unenhanced CT images with PyRadiomics. Radiological features of these GGNs were also collected. Radiomics features were investigated for usefulness in building radiomics signatures by spearman correlation analysis, minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR) feature ranking method and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) classifier. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a nomogram incorporating the radiomics signature and radiological features. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with discrimination, calibration, clinical usefulness and evaluated on the validation cohorts. Five radiomics features remained after features selection. The model incorporating radiomics signatures and four radiological features (bubble-like appearance, tumor-lung interface, mean CT value, average diameter) showed good calibration and good discrimination with AUC of 0.831(95%CI, 0.772~0.890). Application of the nomogram in the internal validation cohort with AUC of 0.792 (95%CI, 0.712~0.871) and in the external validation cohort with AUC of 0.833 (95%CI, 0.729-0.938) also indicated good calibration and good discrimination. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful. This study presents a nomogram incorporating the radiomics signatures and radiological features, which can be used to predict the risk of IAC in patients with GGNs measuring 5-10mm in diameter individually.