SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted serology test results and their association with subsequent COVID-19-related outcomes

In the absence of evidence of clinical utility, the United States' Centers for Disease Control and Prevention does not currently recommend the assessment of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike-protein antibody levels. Clinicians and their patients, especially immunocompromised patients, may benefit from an adjunctive objective clinical laboratory measure of risk, using SARS-CoV-2 serology. The aim of this study is to estimate the association between SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted antibody levels and clinically relevant outcomes overall and among clinically relevant subgroups, such as vaccine and immunocompetency statuses. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using laboratory-based data containing SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing results, as well as medical and pharmacy claim data. SARS-CoV-2 testing was performed by two large United States-based reference clinical laboratories, Labcorp and Quest Diagnostics, and was linked to medical insurance claims, including vaccination receipt, through the HealthVerity Marketplace. Follow-up for outcomes began after each eligible individual's first SARS-CoV-2 semiquantitative spike-protein targeted antibody test, from 16 November 2020 to 30 December 2021. Exposure is defined as having SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted antibody testing. Study outcomes were SARS-CoV-2 infection and a serious composite outcome (hospitalization with an associated SARS-CoV-2 infection or all-cause death). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Propensity score matching was used for confounding covariate control. In total, 143,091 (73.2%) and 52,355 (26.8%) eligible individuals had detectable and non-detectable levels of SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted antibodies, respectively. In the overall population, having detectable vs. non-detectable antibodies was associated with an estimated 44% relative reduction in SARS-CoV-2 subsequent infection risk (HR, 0.56; 95% CI 0.53-0.59) and an 80% relative reduction in the risk of serious composite outcomes (HR 0.20; 95% CI 0.15-0.26). Relative risk reductions were observed across subgroups, including among immunocompromised persons. Individuals with detectable SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted antibody levels had fewer associated subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infections and serious adverse clinical outcomes. Policymakers and clinicians may find SARS-CoV-2 spike-protein targeted serology testing to be a us