Study of the prognostic factor of the colon perforation case with the pan‐peritonitis that needed emergency surgery: a single‐center observational study

Aim We divided patients treated with emergency surgery for pan‐peritonitis caused by colon perforation into the survival group and the death group based on outcome at postoperative day 30 and examined the prognostic factors for colon perforation. Methods The prognostic factors for colon perforation in 76 consecutive patients who underwent emergency surgery at Kansai Medical University Hospital (Hirakata, Japan) from April 2011 to March 2017 were investigated based on outcome at postoperative day 30. Results The average age of the 76 patients (41 men/35 women) was 73 years, and the causative disease of colon perforation was malignant/benign in 18/58 cases, with ileocecal perforation site in 8 cases, ascending colon in 6, transverse colon in 2, descending colon in 4, sigmoid colon in 49, and rectum in 7. All patients received laparotomy with irrigation drainage, and 9 patients (11.8%) were dead at 30 days. Upon comparing the 67 survivors with the 9 dead patients, we recognized a significant difference on preoperative spread of ascites on computed tomography (CT) (P = 0.002) in univariate analysis and on acute disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) score (odds ratio 2.289; 95% confidence interval, 1.188–4.410; P = 0.013) in multivariate analysis. Conclusion In our hospital, the preoperative acute DIC score was found to be a prognostic factor for colon perforation accompanied by pan‐peritonitis. Appropriate evaluation of the spread of ascites on the preoperative CT might also help predict patient prognosis. Preoperative acute disseminated intravascular coagulation score and the extensive spread of ascites on preoperative computed tomography were found to be prognostic factors of colon perforation causing pan‐peritonitis.