Generation expansion planning for Guizhou province based on the complementary characteristics of wind and solar

With the growth of wind power and solar power, power source clean transformation has become a feasible way for achieving the carbon peak target. As a hydropower resource-abundant province, Guizhou has already built Wujiang river cascade hydropower plants. This paper introduces the basic information of the Guizhou provincial power system and geometrical renewable resource distribution characteristics, especially the power source structure. Then, the wind and solar power complementary characteristics are analyzed by different copula conjunction functions. Then, the power structure transformation and generation expansion plan are provided with both carbon peak restriction and curtailment restrictions. At last, the future Guizhou provincial power system in 2029 operation simulation cases are provided, which can reduce the thermal power generation ratio to 42% and increase wind and solar power generation ratio to 8.5% and 13% approximately. The conclusion indicates that coal-fired power plant flexible reform and larger capacity energy storage installation effectively solve the larger power fluctuation and peak regulation demand with more renewable energy integration target.