Social factors of urban greening: Demographics, zoning, and social capital

•The relationship between two aspects of urban greening and social factors were explored through elastic net models.•Horizontal green coverage had no correlation with social capital.•Streetscape greenery had a negative correlation with social capital.•The results may contribute to effective greening policies and urban planning. This study explored the association between greening and social capital in neighborhoods, considering demographics and zoning by urban planning. The target area encompassed the urban areas of Kyoto City, Japan, which has a long tradition of landscape policy and neighborhood associations. Greening was evaluated using two automated methods: 1) horizontal green coverage of the land was calculated via the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in satellite images, and 2) green visibility in streetscape from a human perspective was estimated by combining Google Street View images and a machine learning model. Public government data were used for demographics and zoning, and social capital was evaluated using survey data from the local government. After performing the elastic net models, variables that had explanatory power for each greening index were selected. Similar reasonable associations were found for each of the indices with the zoning categories. However, for both zoning and demographics, different variables were selected. Importantly, the social capital variable was selected only for the green visibility in streetscape, showing a negative correlation between them, unlike in previous studies. These results suggest that the association between urban greening and social relationships can change depending on the context of the target regions and measurements of greening.