Correlation between the average temperature of the Abargu-Sirjan Basin and the teleconnection patterns from the Atlantic Ocean
Introduction Climate is variable in time and space, so detecting a significant trend is a major challenge for researchers. Calculating the trends of climatic elements such as average temperature, maximum, and minimum temperature has been the subject of many studies in recent years. It has been carri...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Mudil/sazī va mudīriyyat-i āb va khāk 2023-02, Vol.3 (4), p.270-285 |
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Zusammenfassung: | Introduction Climate is variable in time and space, so detecting a significant trend is a major challenge for researchers. Calculating the trends of climatic elements such as average temperature, maximum, and minimum temperature has been the subject of many studies in recent years. It has been carried out in different regions around the world. Most studies in this field have focused on large-scale temperature trends. However, more research is needed to focus on the change that occurs at the regional level. In this way, the research conducted on the decadal trends of the average temperature in different regions provides impressive results. In order to study how global warming affects life at the regional level, climate change models and assessments often assume that the impact will be uniform. However, temperature does not increase uniformly in space or time. Materials and Methods In this research, the analyzed monthly data of ERA-Interim with a resolution of 0.25*0.25 degrees during the time period of 1979-2019 from the ECMWF website (European Center for Weather Forecasting) has been used. According to the area of the Abraqo-Sirjan catchment area and the resolution of the studied data, 338 points of the entire basin were covered and studied. Also, the data of the link indices from the North Atlas and South Atlas regions, which were extracted from the NOA site at the same time as the mentioned period, were used. Pearson's correlation and linear regression tests were used to investigate the relationship between the average temperature of the watershed and the remoteness indices. Results and Discussion Examining the average temperature trend of the Abrago-Sirjan basin area showed that except for the months of April, May, August, and December, the other months only have an increasing trend. In April, the northern areas and parts of the west and east of the basin have an increasing trend. Other parts of the basin have no trend. In this month, 37.05% of the area of the basin is covered by the increasing trend zone and 62.94% by the non-trending zone. In May, the northern half of the basin has an increasing trend and covers 48.95% of the area of the basin. The southern half with an area of 29252.85 square kilometers is without trend and covers 51.04% of the area of the basin. In August, only a very small part of the north of the basin showed an increasing trend. This area with an area of 5728.55 square kilometers includes 9.99% of the area of the basin. Other par |
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ISSN: | 2783-2546 |
DOI: | 10.22098/mmws.2023.12307.1222 |