Circulating soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 and the recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: A meta-analysis

Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST-2), a marker of myocardial fibrosis and remodeling, has been related to the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the relationship between baseline serum sST-2 levels and the risk of AF recurrence after ablation. Relevant observational studies were retrieved from PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Wanfang and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI). A random-effects model was used to combine the data, accounting for between-study heterogeneity. Fourteen prospective cohorts were included. Pooled results showed higher sST-2 levels before ablation in patients with AF recurrence compared to those without AF recurrence (standardized mean difference = 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67 to 1.63, P < 0.001; I2 = 92%). Meta-regression analysis suggested that the proportion of patients with paroxysmal AF (PaAF) was positively related to the difference in serum sST-2 levels between patients with and without AF recurrence (coefficient = 0.033, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed a more remarkable difference in serum sST-2 levels between patients with and without AF recurrence in studies where PaAF was ≥ 60% compared to those where it was < 60% (P = 0.007). Further analyses showed that high sST-2 levels before ablation were associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence (odds ratio [OR] per 1 ng/mL increment of sST-2 =1.05, OR for high versus low sST-2 = 1.73, both P values < 0.05). In conclusion, high sST-2 baseline levels may be associated with an increased risk of AF recurrence after catheter ablation.