Uncertainty Evaluation on Temperature Detection of Middle Atmosphere by Rayleigh Lidar

Measurement uncertainty is an extremely important parameter for characterizing the quality of measurement results. In order to measure the reliability of atmospheric temperature detection, the uncertainty needs to be evaluated. In this paper, based on the measurement models originating from the Chanin-Hauchecorne (CH) method, the atmospheric temperature uncertainty was evaluated using the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) and the Monte Carlo Method (MCM) by considering the ancillary temperature uncertainty and the detection noise as the major uncertainty sources. For the first time, the GUM atmospheric temperature uncertainty framework was comprehensively and quantitatively validated by MCM following the instructions of JCGM 101: 2008 GUM Supplement 1. The results show that the GUM method is reliable when discarding the data in the range of 10–15 km below the reference altitude. Compared with MCM, the GUM method is recommended to evaluate the atmospheric temperature uncertainty of Rayleigh lidar detection in terms of operability, reliability, and calculation efficiency.