Patterns of risk for diabetic retinopathy in the Mumbai slums: The Aditya Jyot Diabetic Retinopathy in Urban Mumbai Slums Study (AJ-DRUMSS) Report 3

Diabetes onset precedes diabetic retinopathy (DR) by 5-10 years, but many people with diabetes remain free of this microvascular complication. Our aim was to identify risk factors for DR progression in a unique and diverse population, the slums of Mumbai. We performed a nested case-control study of 1163 diabetics over 40 years of age from slums in 18 wards of Mumbai. Data was collected on 33 variables and assessed for association with DR using both univariate and multivariate analyses. Stratified analyses were also performed on males and females, separately. Among hypertensive individuals we also assessed whether duration of hypertension associated with DR. Of 31 non-correlated variables analysed as risk factors for DR, 15 showed evidence of significant association. The most prominent included sex, where being a female associated with decreased odds of DR, while longer duration of diabetes and poor glycaemic control associated with increased odds. The duration of diabetes effect was partially, but significantly, mediated by age of diabetes diagnoses (8.6% of variance explained, p = 0.012). Obesity as measured by several measures, including body mass index (BMI) and measures of central obesity had a negative association with DR; increased measures of obesity consistently reduced odds of DR. As in most earlier studies, DR was associated with the duration of diabetes and glycaemic control. However, other factors, especially obesity related measures were associated with DR, in ways that contrast with most prior studies. These results indicated that the overall pattern of association in the Mumbai slums was novel. Thus, in previously uncharacterized populations, such as the slums that we examined, it is important to evaluate all risk factors de novo to appropriately assess patterns of association as the patterns of association with DR can be complex and population specific.