The principle of ecological and molecular consensus in reconstructed plague microbe Yersinia pestis phylogeny

In the second half of the 20th century, through the efforts of scientists from many countries, a coherent theory of natural plague foci (sylvatic plague) was formulated, attempted to describe the history of the origin and evolution of the causative agent of plague infection, the microbeYersinia pestis. But the accumulated knowledge in this regard remained extremely limited. Envisioned by the modern phylogenetics, the methods of phylogenetic constructions in the pregenomic time were rather primitive, “manual”, characteristic of early empirico-intuitive Haeckel phylogenetics. Since the beginning of the 21st century, the introduction of genomic methodologies in the study of the plague pathogen allowed to detail the intraspecific diversity (subspecies, genovariants) of this particularly dangerous pathogen at the level of geographical and local populations (individual natural foci) around the world and to bring the diagnostics and description of intraspecific diversity to a high degree of perfection. Two important discoveries were made. First, the direct ancestor of the plague microbe was reliably established, it turned out to be the causative agent of intestinal infection — Far Eastern scarlet-like fever (Y. pseudotuberculosis0:1b). Secondly, the evolutionary youth of the plague pathogen was shown, the “molecular clock” showed the time of its divergence from the ancestral population no earlier than 30 thousand years ago. Thus, the root of the phylogenetic tree ofY. pestiswas fully characterized. Nevertheless, molecular genetic (MG) achievements do not yet allow to reveal the secrets of its phylogeny, i.e. the origin and sequence of world expansion. The most important reason is the high dependence of the MG of phylogeny reconstructions on the choice of evolutionary model for the analyzed characters: the model of neutral evolution is traditionally accepted, but its adequacy in relation toY. pestisphylogeny is questioned by many well-known ecological (in the broad sense) facts. At the same time, MG achievements contributed to the creation of an ecological (ECO) approach based on the provisions of the theory of natural plague foci in an updated version, according to which the plague pathogen is an evolutionarily young pathogen descended from a psychrophilic pseudotuberculous ancestor. The presumptive ECO scenario has no obvious natural-scientific and historical contradictions and can serve as a null hypothesis for improving the MG methodology of phylogenetic const