Tumor Morphology for Prediction of Poor Responses Early in Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

This multicenter and retrospective study investigated the additive value of tumor morphologic features derived from the functional tumor volume (FTV) tumor mask at pre-treatment (T0) and the early treatment time point (T1) in the prediction of pathologic outcomes for breast cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy. A total of 910 patients enrolled in the multicenter I-SPY 2 trial were included. FTV and tumor morphologic features were calculated from the dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI. A poor response was defined as a residual cancer burden (RCB) class III (RCB-III) at surgical excision. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive performance. The analysis was performed in the full cohort and in individual sub-cohorts stratified by hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status. In the full cohort, the AUCs for the use of the FTV ratio and clinicopathologic data were 0.64 ± 0.03 (mean ± SD [standard deviation]). With morphologic features, the AUC increased significantly to 0.76 ± 0.04 ( < 0.001). The ratio of the surface area to volume ratio between T0 and T1 was found to be the most contributing feature. All top contributing features were from T1. An improvement was also observed in the HR+/HER2- and triple-negative sub-cohorts. The AUC increased significantly from 0.56 ± 0.05 to 0.70 ± 0.06 ( < 0.001) and from 0.65 ± 0.06 to 0.73 ± 0.06 ( < 0.001), respectively, when adding morphologic features. Tumor morphologic features can improve the prediction of RCB-III compared to using FTV only at the early treatment time point.