The trend of 10-year cardiovascular risk among diabetic and non-diabetic participants in Tehran Lipid and glucose study: 1999-2018

Assessing the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is crucial in preventive cardiology. We aimed to determine the trend of CVD risk among individuals with and without diabetes during two decades of follow-up in a Middle Eastern cohort. We studied 8,450 individuals (55.5% women) aged 40-75 years who participated in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS). Diabetes status and CVD risk factors were evaluated in six examinations from 1999 to 2018. The individual 10-year CVD risk score was calculated using the ACC/AHA recommended risk equation. We used generalized estimating equation models (GEE) to assess the time trends of CVD risk factors and CVD risk scores in diabetic and non-diabetic groups separately. The age-adjusted ACC/AHA risk score significantly decreased in non-diabetic women and men (from 3.2% to 1.6% in women and 6.8% to 5.0% in men; p for trend