Brief communication: CESM2 climate forcing (1950–2014) yields realistic Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance
We present a reconstruction of historical (1950–2014) surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) using a high-resolution regional climate model (RACMO2; ∼11 km) to dynamically downscale the climate of the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2; ∼111 km). After further statis...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The cryosphere 2020-04, Vol.14 (4), p.1425-1435 |
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Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | We present a reconstruction of historical (1950–2014) surface mass
balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) using
a high-resolution regional climate model (RACMO2; ∼11 km) to dynamically downscale the climate of the
Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2; ∼111 km). After further statistical downscaling to
1 km spatial resolution, evaluation using in situ SMB
measurements and remotely sensed GrIS mass change shows good
agreement. Comparison with an ensemble of previously conducted
RACMO2 simulations forced by climate reanalysis demonstrates that
the current product realistically represents the long-term average
and variability of individual SMB components and captures the
recent increase in meltwater runoff that accelerated GrIS mass
loss. This means that, for the first time, climate forcing from an
Earth system model (CESM2), which assimilates no observations, can be
used without additional corrections to reconstruct the historical
GrIS SMB and its recent decline that initiated mass loss in the
1990s. This paves the way for attribution studies of future GrIS
mass loss projections and contribution to sea level rise. |
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ISSN: | 1994-0424 1994-0416 1994-0424 1994-0416 |
DOI: | 10.5194/tc-14-1425-2020 |