Enhanced neoplasia detection in chronic ulcerative colitis: the ENDCaP-C diagnostic accuracy study

Background: Chronic ulcerative colitis is a large bowel inflammatory condition associated with increased colorectal cancer risk over time, resulting in 1000 colectomies per year in the UK. Despite intensive colonoscopic surveillance, 50% of cases progress to invasive cancer before detection. Detecting early (precancer) molecular changes by analysing biopsies from routine colonoscopy should increase neoplasia detection. Objectives: To establish a deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) marker panel associated with early neoplastic changes in ulcerative colitis patients. To develop the DNA methylation test for high-throughput analysis within the NHS. To prospectively evaluate the test within the existing colonoscopy surveillance programme. Design: Module 1 analysed 569 stored biopsies from neoplastic and non-neoplastic sites/patients using pyrosequencing for 11 genes that were previously reported to have altered promoter methylation associated with colitis-associated neoplasia. Classifiers were constructed to predict neoplasia based on gene combinations. Module 2 translated analysis to a NHS laboratory, assessing next-generation sequencing to increase speed and reduce cost. Module 3 applied the molecular classifiers within a prospective diagnostic accuracy study, in the existing ulcerative colitis surveillance programme. Comparisons were made between baseline and reference colonoscopies undertaken in a stratified patient sample 6–12 months later. Setting: Thirty-one UK hospitals. Participants: Patients with chronic ulcerative colitis, either for at least 10 years and extensive disease, or with primary sclerosing cholangitis. Interventions: An optimised DNA methylation classifier tested on routine mucosal biopsies taken during colonoscopy. Main outcome: Identifying ulcerative colitis patients with neoplasia. Results: Module 1 selected five genes with specificity for neoplasia. The optimism-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for neoplasia was 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.79 to 0.88). Precancerous neoplasia showed a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (95% confidence interval 0.84 to 0.92). Background mucosa had poorer discrimination (optimism-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.68, 95% confidence interval 0.62 to 0.73). Module 2 was unable to develop a robust next-generation sequencing assay because of the low amplification rates across all genes. In module 3, 818 patients