Molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in Northern South Africa: wastewater surveillance from January 2021 to May 2022

Wastewater-based genomic surveillance of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) provides a comprehensive approach to characterize evolutionary patterns and distribution of viral types in a population. This study documents the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2, in Northern South Africa, from January 2021 to May 2022. A total of 487 wastewater samples were collected from the influent of eight wastewater treatment facilities and tested for SARS-CoV-2 RNA using quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). SARS-CoV-2 positive samples with genome copies/mL ≥1,500 were subjected to allele-specific genotyping (ASG) targeting the Spike protein; 75 SARS-CoV-2 positive samples were subjected to whole genome sequencing (WGS) on the ATOPlex platform. Variants of concern (VoC) and lineages were assigned using the Nextclade and PangoLIN Software. Concordance for VoC between ASG and WGS analyses was determined. Sequence relationship was determined by phylogenetic analysis. Seventy-five percent (365/487) of the influent samples were positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Delta and Omicron VoC were more predominant at a prevalence of 45 and 32%, respectively, and they were detected as early as January and February 2021, while Beta VoC was least detected at a prevalence of 5%. A total of 11/60 (18%) sequences were assigned lineages and clades only, but not a specific VoC name. Phylogenetic analysis was used to investigate the relationship of these sequences to other study sequences, and further characterize them. Concordance in variant assignment between ASG and WGS was seen in 51.2% of the study sequences. There was more intra-variant diversity among Beta VoC sequences; mutation E484K was absent. Three previously undescribed mutations (A361S, V327I, D427Y) were seen in Delta VoC. The detection of Delta and Omicron VoCs in study sites earlier in the outbreak than has been reported in other regions of South Africa highlights the importance of population-based approaches over individual sample-based approaches in genomic surveillance. Inclusion of non-Spike protein targets could improve the specificity of ASG, since all VoCs share similar Spike protein mutations. Finally, continuous molecular epidemiology with the application of sensitive technologies such as next generation sequencing (NGS) is necessary for the documentation of mutations whose implications when further investigated could enhance diagnostics, and vaccine development ef