Stability analysis of CT radiomic features with respect to segmentation variation in oropharyngeal cancer

•Stability analysis for various radiomic features based on the CT axial images.•109 radiomic features were calculated.•ICC and CCC were adopted to assess the representation and predictive agreement.•Segmentation variability affects both radiomic features and predictive accuracy. Accurate segmentation of tumors and quantification of tumor features are important for cancer detection, diagnosis, monitoring, and planning therapeutic intervention. Due to inherent noise components in multi-parametric imaging and inter-observer and intra-observer variations, it is common that various segmentation methods may produce large segmentation errors in tumor volumes and their associated radiomic features. The purpose of this study is to carry out the stability analysis for radiomic features with respect to segmentation variation in oropharyngeal cancer (OPC). In this study, 436 contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) axial images were collected from patients with OPC. In order to derive various segmentations of tumor volumes, two additional segmentations were obtained via resizing the original segmented regions of interest (ROIs) based on their geometric information on the boundary. For three ROI image groups, we calculated 109 radiomic features. Then, a logistic regression model was built to investigate the correlation between the radiomic features extracted from GTVp and the response to chemotherapy and radiation in terms of overall survival (OS). Finally, in order to evaluate the stability of each feature with respect to segmentation results, based on the prediction probabilities, we assessed the inter-rater reliability and reproducibility by calculating the intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC) and concordance correlation coefficients (CCC). Most radiomic features in this study varied a lot when the ROIs were not well segmented. For both the representation agreement and predictive agreement, the ICC and CCC were below 0.5 for all the features. We still found some robust features with relatively high ICC and CCC compared to most features. For example, 25percentile (ICC = 0.38, CCC = 0.37 in representation agreement and ICC = CCC = 0.27 in predictive agreement) is a quantile based feature, which is robust to the extremely high or low values; and Hu_1_std (ICC = 0.31, CCC = 0.31 in representation agreement) is a feature calculated based on the first Hu moment, which is invariant to the transformation of ROIs. In OPC studies, the tumor segmentation variation affe