Deep learning to estimate impaired glucose metabolism from Magnetic Resonance Imaging of the liver: An opportunistic population screening approach

Diabetes is a global health challenge, and many individuals are undiagnosed and not aware of their increased risk of morbidity/mortality although dedicated tests are available, which indicates the need for novel population-wide screening approaches. Here, we developed a deep learning pipeline for opportunistic screening of impaired glucose metabolism using routine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the liver and tested its prognostic value in a general population setting. In this retrospective study a fully automatic deep learning pipeline was developed to quantify liver shape features on routine MR imaging using data from a prospective population study. Subsequently, the association between liver shape features and impaired glucose metabolism was investigated in individuals with prediabetes, type 2 diabetes and healthy controls without prior cardiovascular diseases. K-medoids clustering (3 clusters) with a dissimilarity matrix based on Euclidean distance and ordinal regression was used to assess the association between liver shape features and glycaemic status. The deep learning pipeline showed a high performance for liver shape analysis with a mean Dice score of 97.0±0.01. Out of 339 included individuals (mean age 56.3±9.1 years; males 58.1%), 79 (23.3%) and 46 (13.6%) were classified as having prediabetes and type 2 diabetes, respectively. Individuals in the high risk cluster using all liver shape features (n = 14) had a 2.4 fold increased risk of impaired glucose metabolism after adjustment for cardiometabolic risk factors (age, sex, BMI, total cholesterol, alcohol consumption, hypertension, smoking and hepatic steatosis; OR 2.44 [95% CI 1.12-5.38]; p = 0.03). Based on individual shape features, the strongest association was found between liver volume and impaired glucose metabolism after adjustment for the same risk factors (OR 1.97 [1.38-2.85]; p