Designing Care Pathways Using Simulation Modeling and Machine Learning

Presented at Winter Simulation Conference 2018, Gothenburg, SwedenAuthors:Mahmoud Elbattah, Owen Molloy, Bernard P. ZeiglerSummary:The paper presents a framework that incorporates Simulation Modeling along with Machine Learning (ML) for the purpose of designing pathways and evaluating the return on investment of implementation. The study goes through a use case in relation to elderly healthcare in Ireland, with a particular focus on the hip-fracture care scheme. Initially, unsupervised ML is utilised to extract knowledge from the Irish Hip Fracture Database. Data clustering is specifically applied to learn potential insights pertaining to patient characteristics, care-related factors, and outcomes. Subsequently, the data-driven knowledge is utilised within the process of simulation model development. Generally, the framework is conceived to provide a systematic approach for developing healthcare policies that help optimise the quality and cost of care.