Data assimilation experiments inform monitoring needs for near-term ecological forecasts in a eutrophic reservoir: data, forecasts, and scores

This data publication contains zipped parquet from the Beaverdam Reservoir forecasting data assimilation experiments using the FLARE (Forecasting Lake And Reservoir Ecosystems) system: drivers.zip contains NOAA driver forecast files, targets.zip contains in-situ water temperature observations and meteorological data, forecasts.zip contains forecast parquet files generated from the BVR FLARE DA experiment workflow, and scores.zip contains forecast skill metrics required for analysis. Within the forecasts and scores folders, there are four runs that were conducted with different parameter tuning and uncertainty quantification. The "all_UC" folder includes forecasts run with process, driver, parameter, and initial condition uncertainty quantification. The "IC_off" folder includes forecasts run without initial conditions uncertainty included (i.e., only process, driver, and parameter uncertainty). The "constant_bad_pars" folder includes forecasts run with constant parameters (but daily updating of initial conditions) that were not tuned for Beaverdam Reservoir before forecasts were generated. Finally, the "tuned_bad_pars" folder includes forecasts that were run with daily updating of initial conditions and parameters, but the parameters started out at random values that were not tuned for Beaverdam Reservoir.