Electron density extrapolation above F2 peak by the linear Vary‐Chap model supporting new Global Navigation Satellite Systems‐LEO occultation missions

The new radio‐occultation (RO) instrument on board the future EUMETSAT Polar System‐Second Generation (EPS‐SG) satellites, flying at a height of 820 km, is primarily focusing on neutral atmospheric profiling. It will also provide an opportunity for RO ionospheric sounding, but only below impact heights of 500 km, in order to guarantee a full data gathering of the neutral part. This will leave a gap of 320 km, which impedes the application of the direct inversion techniques to retrieve the electron density profile. To overcome this challenge, we have looked for new ways (accurate and simple) of extrapolating the electron density (also applicable to other low‐Earth orbiting, LEO, missions like CHAMP): a new Vary‐Chap Extrapolation Technique (VCET). VCET is based on the scale height behavior, linearly dependent on the altitude above hmF2. This allows extrapolating the electron density profile for impact heights above its peak height (this is the case for EPS‐SG), up to the satellite orbital height. VCET has been assessed with more than 3700 complete electron density profiles obtained in four representative scenarios of the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) in the United States and the Formosa Satellite Mission 3 (FORMOSAT‐3) in Taiwan, in solar maximum and minimum conditions, and geomagnetically disturbed conditions, by applying an updated Improved Abel Transform Inversion technique to dual‐frequency GPS measurements. It is shown that VCET performs much better than other classical Chapman models, with 60% of occultations showing relative extrapolation errors below 20%, in contrast with conventional Chapman model extrapolation approaches with 10% or less of the profiles with relative error below 20%. Key Points A new electron density profile extrapolation technique (VCET), founded on First Principles, is presented showing a high performance VCET is simple and accurate: it is based on the linear behavior of the topside scale height, performing 6‐20 times better than Chapman model The accuracy and extrapolation range, illustrated with FORMOSAT‐3/COSMIC measurements, will be important for new radio‐occultation missions like EPS‐SG