Towards an Adaptive Learning Model using Optimal Learning Paths to Prevent MOOC Dropout

Currently, massive open online courses (MOOCs) are experiencing major developments and arebecoming increasingly popular in distance learning programs. The goal is to break down inequalitiesand disseminate knowledge to everyone by creating a space for exchange and interaction.Despite the improvements to this educational model, MOOCs still have low retention rates, whichcan be attributed to a variety of factors, including learners’ heterogeneity. The paper aims toaddress the issue of low retention rates in MOOCs by introducing an innovative prediction modelthat provides the best (optimal) learning path for at-risk learners. For this purpose, learners at riskof dropping out are identified, and their courses are adapted to meet their needs and skills. A casestudy is presented to validate the effectiveness of our approach using classification algorithms forprediction and the ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithm to optimize learners’ paths.