Factors influencing fish migration in one of the world's largest inland fisheries

Fish from Cambodia's Tonle Sap Lake are economically, culturally, and nutritionally significant for people in the Lower Mekong Basin, providing income, livelihoods, and protein. Fish in this system generally migrate toward upstream Mekong River in dry season and return in early wet season. However, drivers of fish migration from Tonle Sap Lake to the Mekong River are not well-understood. In this paper, we utilized Mixed Effects Random Forest to predict the catch weight of six fish species migrating from the Tonle Sap Lake to the Mekong River using precipitation, lunar cycle, and hydrologic conditions like river stage, streamflow, flow magnitude, and timing as predictors. As a surrogate for fish migration, we used daily fish catch weight from 2002 through 2008 at the bagnet, or Dai , fisheries along Tonle Sap River, a migration corridor connecting Tonle Sap Lake to the Mekong River. We found that migration of large fish was mainly cued by streamflow and flow magnitude, while smaller fish migrate depending on the combination of streamflow and flow timing. Streamflow less than average cumulative flow was the most important driver for migration of Pangasianodon hypophthalmus , and Cirrhinus microlepis . Migration of Cyclocheilichthys enoplos and Osteochilus melanopleurus was highly dependent on the number of low- and minimum-flow days. Cumulative flows, period of high flow and water level were the main predictors of the small mud-carp Henicorhynchus entmema's migration, while individuals of Labiobarbus leptocheilus migrated out of the Tonle Sap Lake depending on the number of days after 7-, 30-, and 90-day minimum flows. These results suggest that flow characteristics can be used to aid conservation and adaptive management of Cambodia's Dai fisheries.