Mathematical models and the coronavirus, COVID-19

Currently, there are several mathematical models that have been developed to understand the dynamics of COVID-19 infection. However, the difference in the sociocultural contexts between countries requires the specific adjustment of these estimates to each scenario. This article analyses the main ele...

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Veröffentlicht in:Colombia médica (Cali, Colombia) Colombia), 2020-05, Vol.51 (2)
Hauptverfasser: Grillo Ardila, Elvia Karina, Bravo Ocaña, Luis Eduardo, Guerrero, Rodrigo, Santaella-Tenorio, Julián
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Currently, there are several mathematical models that have been developed to understand the dynamics of COVID-19 infection. However, the difference in the sociocultural contexts between countries requires the specific adjustment of these estimates to each scenario. This article analyses the main elements used for the construction of models from epidemiological patterns, to describe the interaction, explain the dynamics of infection and recovery, and to predict possible scenarios that may arise with the introduction of public health measures such as social distancing and quarantines, specifically in the case of the pandemic unleashed by the new SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 virus. Comment: Mathematical models are highly relevant for making objective and effective decisions to control and eradicate the disease. These models used for COVID-19 have supported and will continue to provide information for the selection and implementation of programs and public policies that prevent associated complications, reduce the speed of the virus spread and minimize the occurrence of severe cases of the disease that may collapse health systems.
ISSN:0120-8322
1657-9534
DOI:10.25100/cm.v51i2.4277