Impact of climate change on agricultural production in Burkina Faso, West Africa

Global warming is one of the greatest challenges of this century. It impacts all nations worldwide, particularly Sahelian nations in Africa. This article evaluates climate change's impact on aggregate agriculture, crop, livestock, and fishery production in Burkina Faso. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was applied, and data were collected from 1990 to 2019. Considering agriculture at the aggregate level, the findings have shown an insignificant effect of rainfall and temperature but a positive impact of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the long run. Only rainfall negatively affects agriculture in Burkina Faso in the short run. For crop production, only CO2 is found to have a short-run negative effect. The findings indicated that temperature has a short-term favorable effect on livestock production, whereas CO2 benefits it in the long term. The long-run time series analysis of fishery production has indicated a detrimental impact of rainfall. In the short term, temperature, rainfall, and CO2 have a detrimental impact on fishery production in Burkina Faso. However, CO2 is found to have a short-run negative impact. Promoting and facilitating livestock production and irrigation systems and enhancing climate system information (CSI) could lessen agriculture's sensitivity to global warming. Keywords: Agriculture and sub-sectors, climate change, ARDL, Burkina Faso, west africa.