Considerations regarding inflation ranges

We consider three ways that a monetary policy framework may employ a range for inflation outcomes: (1) ranges that acknowledge uncertainty about inflation outcomes (uncertainty ranges), (2) ranges that define the scope for intentional deviations of inflation from its target (operational ranges), and...

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Veröffentlicht in:Finance and economics discussion series 2020-08, Vol.2020 (74), p.1-36
1. Verfasser: Chung, Hess
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We consider three ways that a monetary policy framework may employ a range for inflation outcomes: (1) ranges that acknowledge uncertainty about inflation outcomes (uncertainty ranges), (2) ranges that define the scope for intentional deviations of inflation from its target (operational ranges), and (3) ranges over which monetary policy will not react to inflation deviations (indifference ranges). After defining these three ranges, we highlight a number of costs and benefits associated with each. Our discussion of the indifference range is accompanied by simulations from the FRB/US model, illustrating the potential for long-term inflation expectations to drift within the range.
ISSN:1936-2854
1936-2854
DOI:10.17016/FEDS.2020.075