The Evolution of Local Labor Markets after Recessions

This paper studies how US local labor markets respond to employment losses that occur during recessions. Following recessions from 1973 through 2009, we find areas that lose more jobs during the recession experience persistent relative declines in employment and population. Most importantly, these l...

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Veröffentlicht in:American economic journal. Applied economics 2024-07, Vol.16 (3), p.399-435
Hauptverfasser: Hershbein, Brad, Stuart, Bryan A.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:This paper studies how US local labor markets respond to employment losses that occur during recessions. Following recessions from 1973 through 2009, we find areas that lose more jobs during the recession experience persistent relative declines in employment and population. Most importantly, these local labor markets also experience persistent decreases in the employment-population ratio, earnings per capita, and earnings per worker. Our results imply that limited population responses result in longer-lasting consequences for local labor markets than previously thought and that recessions are followed by persistent reallocation of employment across space. (JEL E32, J21, J31, J61, R23)
ISSN:1945-7782
1945-7790
DOI:10.1257/app.20220132