How to use natural experiments to estimate misallocation

We propose a method to estimate the effect of firm policies (e.g., bankruptcy laws) on allocative efficiency using (quasi-)experimental evidence. Our approach takes general equilibrium effects into account and requires neither a structural estimation nor a precise assumption on how the experiment af...

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Veröffentlicht in:The American economic review 2023-04, Vol.113 (4), p.906-938
1. Verfasser: Sraer, David
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We propose a method to estimate the effect of firm policies (e.g., bankruptcy laws) on allocative efficiency using (quasi-)experimental evidence. Our approach takes general equilibrium effects into account and requires neither a structural estimation nor a precise assumption on how the experiment affects firms. Our aggregation formula relies on treatment effects of the policy on the distribution of output-to-capital ratios, which are easily estimated. We show this method is valid for a large class of commonly used models in macrofinance. We apply it to the French banking deregulation episode of the mid- 1980s and find an increase in aggregate TFP of 5 percent. (JEL G21, G24, G28, G31, G32, H25)
ISSN:0002-8282
DOI:10.1257/aer.20190609