Three-state herding model of the financial markets

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with po...

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Veröffentlicht in:Europhysics letters 2013-01, Vol.101 (2), p.28001
Hauptverfasser: Kononovicius, A., Gontis, V.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with power-law probability density function of the absolute returns we are able to reproduce the fractured power spectral density, which is observed in the high-frequency financial market data. The given example of consistent agent-based and stochastic modeling will provide a background for further developments in the research of complex social systems.
ISSN:0295-5075
1286-4854
DOI:10.1209/0295-5075/101/28001