A Gamma-Shaped Detection Function for Line-Transect Surveys With Mark-Recapture and Covariate Data

We have developed a procedure for estimating animal population size from aerial survey data collected simultaneously by two observers on the same sighting platform. We used a line transect sample design where transects follow elevation contours in mountainous terrain. Because our 10 data sets from aerial line transect surveys, conducted over a terrestrial environment, consistently show unimodal detection shapes, we chose a gamma-shaped detection function that is unimodal and admits covariates. We fit models separately to data from each observer, and then used all of the data to estimate the probabilities at the apex of the detection curves. We used a Horvitz—Thompson estimator to estimate the population size. We illustrate our procedure on a recently collected brown bear data set. The programs and data set used in this work are available in the online supplements.