Duplex Sequencing with Patient-Specific Hybrid Capture Panels Reveals Ultra-Low Frequency Measurable Residual Disease in Pediatric Acute Myeloid Leukemia

Sensitive and specific detection of measurable residual disease (MRD) after treatment in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is prognostic of relapse and is important for clinical decision making. Mutation-based methods are increasingly being used, but are hampered by the limited number of common driver gene mutations to target as clone markers. Additional targets would greatly increase MRD detection power. However, even in cases with many AML-defining mutations, it is the limited accuracy of current molecular methods which establishes the lower bounds of sensitivity. Here we describe an ultrasensitive approach for disease monitoring with personalized hybrid capture panels targeting hundreds of somatic mutations identified by whole genome sequencing (WGS), and using extremely accurate Duplex Sequencing (DS) in longitudinal samples. In a pilot cohort of 13 patients we demonstrate detection sensitivities several orders of magnitude beyond currently available single locus testing or less accurate sequencing. With multi-target panels, overall power for MRD detection is cumulative across sites. For example, if a patient has MRD at a true frequency of 1/30,000, sequencing a single mutant site to 10,000x molecular depth would be unlikely to detect MRD. However, sequencing 10 sites each to 10,000x would effectively total 100,000x informative site depth, increasing power to >95%. However, standard sequencing assays are insufficiently accurate to achieve this theoretical limit of detection (LOD). DS enables accurate detection of individual variants to