Fiscal Multipliers and Financial Crises

I study the effects of the U.S. fiscal policy response to the Great Recession, accounting for both standard tools and financial sector interventions. A nonlinear model calibrated to the United States allows me to study the state-dependent effects of different fiscal policies. I combine the model wit...

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Veröffentlicht in:The review of economics and statistics 2024-05, Vol.106 (3), p.728-747
1. Verfasser: Faria-e-Castro, Miguel
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:I study the effects of the U.S. fiscal policy response to the Great Recession, accounting for both standard tools and financial sector interventions. A nonlinear model calibrated to the United States allows me to study the state-dependent effects of different fiscal policies. I combine the model with data on the fiscal policy response to find that the fall in consumption would have been one-third larger in the absence of that response, for a cumulative loss of 7.18%. Transfers and bank recapitalizations yielded the largest fiscal multipliers through new transmission channels that arise from linkages between household and bank balance sheets.
ISSN:0034-6535
1530-9142
DOI:10.1162/rest_a_01163