Abstract 1247: Comprehensive molecular profiling to predict first-line immunochemotherapy outcomes in inoperable esophageal adenocarcinoma

For patients with inoperable esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), prognosis on conventional chemotherapy (CTX) remains poor. In 2021, the FDA approved two αPD-1 immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) for addition to fluoropyrimidine/platinum-containing CTX in this first-line setting. As ICI+CTX enters the clinic, understanding ICI responses and predicting which patients will benefit from ICI addition are key challenges. To address these challenges, we assessed clinical and molecular profiles from the experimental LUD2015-005 trial (NCT02735239, EudraCT 2015-005298-19). Treatment consisted of an initial four-week ICI-only window with durvalumab (αPD-L1) with or without a single dose of tremelimumab (αCTLA-4), followed by 6 cycles of ICI+CTX (CapOx). 38 inoperable patients received treatment (35 EAC; 3 ESCC); median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 13.4 and 9.3 months, respectively. All patients reported at least one treatment emergent adverse event (TEAE), with 29 (76.3%) reporting grade 3 or higher TEAEs. EAC patients with available samples (n = 33) were taken forward for biomarker analysis, using tumor and adjacent normal biopsies collected at pre-treatment (PreTx), after four weeks of ICI-only (ICI-4W), and at the end of ICI+CTX (PostTx). Transcriptomic comparison of paired PreTx and ICI-4W EAC biopsies (n = 28) revealed ICI-induced upregulation of a novel T-cell inflammation signature (termed INCITE). Stronger INCITE upregulation correlated with greater tumor shrinkage during the ICI-only window, and tumors with minimal INCITE upregulation showed markers of ICI resistance, including Innate PD-1 Resistance (IPRES). Despite correlation with ICI-only responses, INCITE changes were not associated with overall ICI+CTX outcomes. To find predictive biomarkers of ICI+CTX outcomes, we conducted comprehensive genomic and transcriptomic profiling of PreTx EAC biopsies (n = 33). First, we generated a novel 65,000 cell scRNA-seq dataset and designed a deconvolution workflow to resolve tumor cell composition. Unexpectedly, monocyte composition was strongly linked with greater overall survival (OS) (HR: 0.40 [0.23-0.69]; p = 0.001; FDR = 0.047). Coding tumor mutational burden (TMB) was also associated with improved OS (HR: 0.50 [0.28-0.89]; p = 0.019). Multivariate modelling suggested monocyte composition and TMB were independent and complementary predictors of outcomes. Neither factor was associated with outcomes in a TCGA cohort of EAC patients