Exploiting Intraday Decompositions in Realized Volatility Forecasting: A Forecast Reconciliation Approach

Abstract We address the construction of Realized Variance (RV) forecasts by exploiting the hierarchical structure implicit in available decompositions of RV. We propose a post-forecasting approach that utilizes bottom-up and regression-based reconciliation methods. By using data referred to the Dow...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of financial econometrics 2024-12, Vol.22 (5), p.1759-1784
Hauptverfasser: Caporin, Massimiliano, Di Fonzo, Tommaso, Girolimetto, Daniele
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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